Houston Real Estate Market Report: February 2026 Edition
A Comprehensive Guide for Relocation & New Construction Buyers
The Houston real estate market has entered a phase of healthy normalization as we move into 2026. For relocation buyers, this shift translates into a rare combination of increased inventory, stabilizing prices, and enhanced negotiating power. This report provides the essential metrics and insights you need to navigate the current landscape, with a specific focus on the booming new construction sectors in West Houston.
Key Market Indicators: January 2026 Snapshot
The following table outlines the year-over-year performance of the Houston single-family home market.
Market Analysis: What These Numbers Mean for You
The 16.6% surge in active listings is the most significant development for buyers. With nearly 35,000 homes available, the "bidding war" era has largely subsided, replaced by a market where buyers can take their time. The average home now stays on the market for 66 days, providing a comfortable window for relocation planning and thorough inspections.
While the median price saw a slight dip, the average price rose, driven by a robust 15.5% jump in luxury home sales ($1M+). For the core market ($250k - $500k), activity has moderated, creating more leverage for buyers in this price range.
Spotlight: New Construction Opportunities
West Houston remains the epicenter for new construction, offering modern amenities and builder-backed financial incentives that often outperform the resale market.

Pro Tip for New Construction: Builders are currently offering aggressive rate buydowns and closing cost assistance. In many cases, a new construction home can have a lower monthly payment than a cheaper resale home due to these financing incentives.
Financing & Affordability Update
As of February 12, 2026, mortgage rates have shown signs of easing, further improving the outlook for buyers.
  • Current 30-Year Fixed Rate: ~6.09% (Freddie Mac Average)
  • Current 15-Year Fixed Rate: ~5.44%
  • Monthly Savings: Buyers of a median-priced home are currently paying approximately $161 less per month than they would have in January 2025, thanks to the combination of adjusted prices and improved rates.
Strategic Recommendations for Relocation Buyers
  1. Monitor Pending Sales: The 8.5% rise in pending sales suggests a busy spring market ahead. If you find a property that fits your needs, don't wait too long, as competition may increase by March.
  1. Leverage Builder Incentives: If you are looking at new construction, ask about "inventory homes" (spec homes). Builders are often more motivated to offer deep discounts or upgrades on homes that are already completed or near completion.
  1. Focus on Inventory Levels: Neighborhoods with higher inventory (like Fulshear and Katy) offer the best opportunities for price negotiations and seller concessions.
Conclusion
The Houston market in 2026 is defined by balance and opportunity. Whether you are looking for a luxury estate in Fulshear or a modern starter home in Richmond, the current data supports a strategic and confident entry into the market.
Houston Real Estate Market Data - January 2026
4,999
Total Sales
Single-family homes (Down 1.0% YoY)
$322K
Median Price
Down 0.9% YoY
34,570
Active Listings
Up 16.6% YoY
66
Days on Market
Up from 61 days last year
Core Market Metrics (Single-Family Homes)
  • Total Sales: 4,999 (Down 1.0% YoY)
  • Median Price: $322,045 (Down 0.9% YoY)
  • Average Price: $416,722 (Up 2.8% YoY)
  • Active Listings: 34,570 (Up 16.6% YoY)
  • Months of Inventory: 4.7 months (Up from 4.2 months last year)
  • Days on Market (DOM): 66 days (Up from 61 days last year)
  • Pending Sales: Up 8.5% (Strong indicator for February/March)
Market Segments
$1M and Above (Luxury)
Sales jumped 15.5% YoY.
$250k - $499k (Core Market)
Sales slowed 5.1% YoY.
$150k - $249k
Sales increased 4.7% YoY.
Townhomes/Condos
Sales down 25.9%; Median price $185,000 (Down 11.9%); 7.6 months of inventory.
New Construction Insights (Focus: Katy/Fulshear/Richmond)
Active Communities:
Katy
  • Sunterra
  • Elyson
  • Tamarron West
Fulshear
  • Cross Creek West
  • Fulshear Lakes
Richmond
  • Brookewater
  • Briarwood Crossing
  • Grand Ridge Crossing
Price Tiers:
Under $350k
Brookewater (Richmond), select Sunterra/Tamarron West.
$350k - $475k
Core buyer range in Sunterra, Tamarron West, Elyson.
$475k - $600k+
Upgraded features in Cross Creek West, Fulshear Lakes.
Builder Incentives: Closing cost assistance, rate buydowns, design center credits.
Affordability & Mortgage Rates (Feb 12, 2026)
  • 30-Year Fixed Rate: ~6.09% (Freddie Mac Average)
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: ~5.44%
  • Monthly Savings: Homebuyers paying ~$161 less per month compared to Jan 2025 due to price/rate adjustments.
$161
Monthly savings vs. Jan 2025
Key Takeaways for Relocation Buyers
More Choice
16.6% increase in listings means more options without the bidding wars of previous years.
More Time
66 days on market allows for thoughtful relocation planning.
New Construction Value
Builders are offering aggressive incentives to move inventory, often beating resale on total cost of ownership (via rate buydowns).
Ready to Make Your Move to Houston?
Whether you're exploring new construction in Katy's master-planned communities or searching for the perfect resale home in Fulshear, I'm here to guide your relocation journey. Let's discuss your timeline, budget, and must-haves to find your ideal Houston home.
Schedule Your Strategy Call
Terrel D. Terrell, REALTOR®
eXp Realty LLC
License # 723700
1 Riverway Dr Ste 1700, Houston, TX 77056 Phone: (713) 403-8223​​

by Terrel D. Terrell